RE/MAX National Housing Report for December 2018
December’s declining home sales and growing inventory solidified 2018 as the year the red-hot seller’s market moved toward a balanced market. Price growth also moderated, though December was the 33rd consecutive month of year-over-year increases in home prices, according to the RE/MAX National Housing Report, which includes fifty-three metro areas.
December’s year-over-year decline in home sales of 12.1 percent set a December record in the 10-year history of the report and also marked the fifth consecutive month that home sales were lower than 2017. December was 2018’s 10th month of year-over-year declines in home sales with only April and July topping 2017 sales.
Most telling was December’s 4.6 percent growth in inventory, which was also a report record. December’s year-over-year inventory increase marked the third consecutive month of growth – a trend reversing a decade-long streak of year-over-year inventory declines.
“December’s inventory gain, continuing the three-month growth trend, is welcome news,” said RE/MAX CEO Adam Contos. “The market remains choppy and there’s still a long way to go, but these gains represent steps toward a balanced market, which in the long run is healthy for both buyers and sellers.”
While fifty-four Days on Market was a record low for December sold listings, the 4.1 Months Supply of Inventory was higher than December 2017’s 3.7 months and ahead of November 2018’s 3.9 months supply.
Home buyers paid record amounts throughout 2018 as prices grew year-over-year in every month last year, led by June’s Median Sold Price of $258,500 – an all-time report high. Even so, December’s year-over-year increase of 2.1% was 2018’s smallest, and far lower than the 8.1 percent price growth from December 2016 to December 2017.
“Home sales have cooled, especially during the second half of 2018, but that was inevitable given the strong seller’s market that has persisted for nearly a decade,” Contos said. “We believe sales activity can pick back up if the pace of price escalation continues to moderate, interest rates tick further downward, and wage growth continues.”
Of the fifty-three metro areas surveyed in December 2018, the overall average number of home sales is down -8.5 percent compared to November 2018, and down -12.1 percent compared to December 2017. None of the fifty-three metro areas experienced an increase in sales year-over-year. In December 2018, the median of all fifty-three metro Median Sales Prices was $240,000, up 2.1 percent from November 2018, and up +2.1 percent from December 2017. The average Days on Market for homes sold in December 2018 was fifty-four, up three days from the average in November 2018, and down three days from the December 2017 average.
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